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Some North Carolina colleges charge only $500 for tuition. It could cause a $6 million deficit.

A new audit from State Auditor Jessica Holmes found improper spending at Fayetteville State University.
Courtesy of Fayetteville State University
A new audit from State Auditor Jessica Holmes found improper spending at Fayetteville State University.

Four universities in the state are part of NC Promise, an initiative that allows in-state students to pay only $500 per semester for tuition.

It includes two Historically Black Colleges and Universities: Elizabeth City State and Fayetteville State; one Historically American Indian University: UNC Pembroke; and the westernmost institution in the UNC System: Western Carolina University.

Since starting in 2018, the program has led to significant enrollment gains for each of the universities.

In comparing the university鈥檚 enrollment before they were part of NC Promise to this year鈥檚, ECSU鈥檚 has jumped 57%, FSU鈥檚 10%, and WCU 8%. UNCP鈥檚 enrollment has been on a downturn since 2021, but it enrolled its largest freshman class the year it joined NC Promise.

But those enrollment boosts could come at more of a cost this year.

Fall enrollment trends at NC Promise institutions from 2017-2024.
UNC System Meeting Materials
Enrollment trends at NC Promise institutions from 2017-2024.

The difference between the $500 per semester for tuition and the actual cost to educate each student is made up by taxpayer dollars. The state legislature 鈥渂uys down鈥 the difference between the university鈥檚 regular tuition rates and NC Promise rates.

This rate varies 鈥 the lowest being $1,856 dollars per in-state student and the highest $11,855 per out-of-state student. Nonresidents don鈥檛 have the same rate as in-state students and are charged $2,500 per semester.

The state already approved a recurring annual $82.5 million appropriation for the four schools. But according to Jennifer Haygood, the UNC System鈥檚 Chief Financial Officer, that likely won鈥檛 be enough to cover the school鈥檚 full cost.

Currently, Haygood鈥檚 office is projecting a $6.4 million funding deficit.

鈥淲e don鈥檛 have enough adequate funding this fiscal year to fund all anticipated enrollments,鈥 Haygood told the UNC Board of Governors鈥 budget and finance committee. 鈥... If we want to ensure that our NC Promise institutions are not negatively disadvantaged, we need to begin thinking about how we handle that.鈥

Chart showing funding history for NC Promise program. This year, the tuition discount could cause an over $6 million deficit.
UNC System Meeting Materials
Chart showing funding history for NC Promise program. This year, the tuition discount could cause an over $6 million deficit.

This isn鈥檛 the first year the state legislature鈥檚 funding wasn鈥檛 enough to cover the NC Promise initiative. Last year, the funding only covered 87% of the buydown rate by the universities鈥 summer semesters.

Haygood said there鈥檚 only been three years when there was enough funding to cover all NC Promise enrollments.

When the initiative was first introduced, felt the state eventually wouldn't provide enough funding for NC Promise institutions. In other states, due to uncertain funding.

At the UNC Board of Governors meeting Thursday, Haygood proposed two options to 鈥渇ully fund鈥 NC Promise. One is to increase the tuition paid by students, especially for those from out-of-state.

鈥淭he amount that we are allocating for non-residents has actually grown more quickly than, in percentage terms, the enrollment increase,鈥 Haygood said.

At the beginning of the program, about 26% of NC Promise鈥檚 funding was allocated to out-of-state students. Now, that figure has jumped to 45%.

Chart showing NC Promise's fall semester allocations by residency. In 2024, 45% of funds will go toward covering out-of-state students' tuition discount.
UNC System Meeting Materials
Chart showing NC Promise's fall semester allocations by residency. In 2024, 45% of funds will go toward covering out-of-state students' tuition discount.

Haygood鈥檚 proposal showed that if each out-of-state student paid $100 more in tuition, that could add up to $375,000. And if it was increased for every student, $2.35 million.

It would take NC Promise institutions four years to see the full benefit of any tuition increase for resident students, due to the . This mandates that in-state students have the same tuition rate all four years they are in school. There is not a guarantee for out-of-state students, so any increases would be in effect immediately.

Haygood said the 鈥渙bvious鈥 option to 鈥渇ully fund鈥 NC Promise would be the BOG asking the state legislature for more funding. She estimated that if the buydown rate increased by 1%, it could increase the allocation by $900,000.

At the meeting, UNC BOG member John Fraley asked why the General Assembly didn鈥檛 allocate more funding back when Fayetteville State was added in 2022.

鈥淲hen this was first starting up, there was a presentation made back to the legislature projecting out that the buy down over a certain number of years was going to hit either $81 million or $84 million,鈥 Fraley said. 鈥淭hat鈥檚 also before Fayetteville State was included. I don鈥檛 understand why we have a shortfall now.鈥

Haygood said in 2020, the General Assembly originally intended to fund NC Promise up to $81.4 million.

鈥淭o your point, that was before the inclusion of FSU,鈥 Haygood said. 鈥淭he reason we have a shortfall now is because we鈥檝e had some enrollment growth and that has outstripped sort of expectations.鈥

This year, FSU will receive $15.4 million from the $82.5 million funding pool. When the HBCU was first added to the program, the state legislature increased the overall NC Promise allocation by only $11.5 million.

鈥淪o, you can already see how the enrollment growth and the participation in NC Promise at FSU has outstripped even the funding that the General Assembly initially provided,鈥 Haygood said at the meeting.

FSU鈥檚 funding is on the lower end of the allocations. Western Carolina will receive $38.4 million and UNC Pembroke $16.1 million. The smallest allocation, 8.7 million, will go to Elizabeth City State. These allocations don鈥檛 include the school鈥檚 summer enrollment, which is when Haygood expects the shortfall to occur.

About 78.5 million will be allocated to the NC Promise institutions this year. This doesn't include the universities' spring enrollment, which is when the budget shortfall is expected to occur.
UNC System Meeting Materials
About 78.5 million will be allocated to the NC Promise institutions this year. This doesn't include the universities' spring enrollment, which is when the budget shortfall is expected to occur.

UNC BOG member Harry Brown said he doesn鈥檛 think requesting the increase will be a problem.

鈥淚 know on the Senate side, the intent is to always fund it and I think that will take place,鈥 Brown said at the Thursday meeting. 鈥淚 think it鈥檚 just a matter of asking at this point.鈥

The UNC Board of Governors鈥 budget and finance committee will continue to discuss NC Promise鈥檚 funding over the next few months.

瓜神app partners with on higher education coverage.

Brianna Atkinson is 瓜神app鈥檚 2024 Fletcher Fellow and covers higher education in partnership with .
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